Read e-book online A Brief History of Tomorrow: How The Experts Usually Screw PDF


By Jonathan Margolis

ISBN-10: 190855620X

ISBN-13: 9781908556202

A desirable examine the long run, as you've by no means obvious it.

Ten years from now, can we have a tiny computer surgically inserted in an earlobe, able to connecting to cell strains and the web? Fifty years from now, will atomic-sized robots change surgeons? 100 years from now, rather than taking the bus, do we easily teleport to paintings? all of it might sound like most unlikely technological know-how fiction, yet recently, so did jogging at the moon. Journalist Jonathan Margolis interviews prime thinkers in such fields as genetics, medication, neurobiology, quantum physics, robotics, machine technological know-how, and house trip to discover the place we're going, and what it is going to appear like while - and if - we get there.

Beginning with famously fallacious prior visions of the long run - between them H.G. Wells, George Orwell, Arthur C. Clarke, Stephen Hawking, and invoice Gates - Margolis examines some of the unusual and tempting futures which could lie in shop for us. Politics, society, faith, and paintings are all destined for excellent adjustments. What could they be? How will they arrive approximately? Thought-provoking, fun, and totally unique, a short background of the next day to come is a deliciously compelling examine whatever all of us spend loads of time considering: the long run.

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Additional info for A Brief History of Tomorrow: How The Experts Usually Screw Up (Future Forecasting)

Sample text

This is just an experimental result under pulsating loading conditions (R = 0), but under fretting conditions the stress ratio R becomes negative. So we introduce equivalent stress intensity factor range A Ke, which considers stress ratio R and crack length a, just as explained in Eqs. (7) and (7') for the threshold stress intensity factor range A Kth, as follows: HATTORI ET AL. ~ 200 I Nominal stress O'o, MPa "100 K = - - 4 + ((9"o--43) O O3 -20 Fig, 8. Stress intensity factor vs, nominal stress.

To estimate the effect of randomness of the contact size on the micro-constriction impedance, the square pattern shown in Figure 3d is maintained with a fixed spacing of S = 2L~c/c. ATFIA ON FRETTING FATIGUE TEST METHOD Ceramic Ti 45 Fluorocarbon 800 700Polyimide 9~. 600I,i 500Stainless steel t. 16 P,/I~ Effect of the material properties and appL_d pressure on the maximum temperature Rise during frettingfatigue,for the given operating conditions. The characteristic length L~ac of each asperity contact varies randomly according to the density distribution function expressed by Eq.

Theoretical and experimental results related to homogeneous metallic contacts are discussed to attempt an objective analysis on the interest of fretting fatigue tests. KEYWORDS: fretting wear, fretting wear on pre-stressed specimen, fretting fatigue, crack nucleation, high-cycle fatigue, size effect, fretting map Introduction Fretting damage is often the origin of catastrophic failures or loss of functionality in many industrial applications. Considered to be a plague for modem industry, fretting is encountered in all quasi-static loadings submitted to vibration and thus concerns many industrial branches [1, 2].

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A Brief History of Tomorrow: How The Experts Usually Screw Up (Future Forecasting) by Jonathan Margolis

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